Repeated geodetic measurements with the Global Positioning System (GPS) have provided direct measurements of
displacement due to active plate motions in Central America and northern South America, a tectonically active area of complex
interaction between the Nazca, Cocos, Caribbean and South American plates. The displacements observed in the period
1988-1990 are obtained from the results of the first two CASA (Central And South America) GPS experiments. With these
measurements are used, to determine the convergence rates across the Colombia-Ecuador and Mid-America trenches, and
the spreading rate across the Galapagos Rise.
A network of 30 stations was occupied in the CASA UNO experiment (1988), but only five stations were reoccupied in 1990.
The complete network was recently reoccupied, in early 1991. Special attention has been paid to the analysis of all possible
sources of systematic errors, especially those which might arise from differences between the two networks. The two
experiments had different tracking networks, used different equipment, and the 1990 network was much sparser in the CASA
region. The potential effects of these differences are formally accounted for in the uncertainties.
The Nazca-South America convergence measured by GPS is slightly faster than predicted by the NUVEL- 1 plate motion
model. However, the station on South America is actually on the independent North Andes block, and if the GPS displacement
rate is corrected for the predicted motion of the North Andes block, the NUVEL- 1 rate would lie within the 95% confidence
ellipse of the GPS estimate. The measured convergence rate between the Cocos and Caribbean plates is 57 mm/yr, only 60%
of the 93 mm/yr predicted by the NUVEL- 1 model. The convergence direction measured by GPS is almost identical to that
predicted by the plate motion model. The observed convergence rate is consistent with the hypothesis that plate convergence
is slowing south of the Cocos Ridge, or with the hypothesis that the displacement measured on this baseline was affected by the
temporal effects of the earthquake cycle. Alternatively, there could be localized tectonic motion at the site on the Cocos plate.
Spreading across the Galapagos Rise was significantly different than the motion predicted by NUVEL-1, with a difference of
40 mm/yr in the east component. However, both the north and vertical displacement rates are within 1 mm/yr of the NUVEL-1
model predictions. There is no clear explanation for the difference, although again there is the possibility of anomalous motion
of the site at Isla del Coco.
With only two measurements of the GPS network, the displacements measured with GPS results raise more questions than
they answer and at this point it is more appropriate to speculate than to draw firm conclusions about the tectonic significance of
the GPS results. Additional measurements of these baselines will significantly increase the confidence level of the conclusions
which can be drawn from them. The second complete occupation of the network (CASA 1991) should provide a more robust
solution, and its much greater redundancy will make it simpler to isolate possible local motions at particular sites.